gameServer/OfficialServer/Glicko2.hs
author Wuzzy <Wuzzy2@mail.ru>
Sat, 06 Jun 2020 15:40:51 +0200
changeset 15597 6e72bd61002e
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permissions -rw-r--r--
Disable gfMoreWind for land objects on turn end only after a fixed-time delay 15s sounds much, but it's the average amount for gfMineStrike mines to settle naturally. And it would be very confusing to see falling mines suddenly not caring about gfMoreWind for no apparent reason. Note this whole thing is a giant hack anyway, to prevent a turn being blocked by infinitely bouncing mines. The better solution would be to help gfMoreWind-affected land objects settle naturally more reliably even under extreme wind. But this commit is "good enough" for now. If you don't like the delay, you can always tweak the constant.
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{-
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    Glicko2, as described in http://www.glicko.net/glicko/glicko2.pdf
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-}
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module OfficialServer.Glicko2 where
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data RatingData = RatingData {
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        ratingValue
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        , rD
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        , volatility :: Double
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    }
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data GameData = GameData {
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        opponentRating :: RatingData,
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        gameScore :: Double
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    }
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τ, ε :: Double
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τ = 0.2
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ε = 0.000001
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g_φ :: Double -> Double
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g_φ φ = 1 / sqrt (1 + 3 * φ^2 / pi^2)
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calcE :: RatingData -> GameData -> (Double, Double, Double)
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calcE oldRating (GameData oppRating s) = (
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    1 / (1 + exp (g_φᵢ * (μᵢ - μ)))
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    , g_φᵢ
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    , s
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    )
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    where
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        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
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        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
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        μᵢ = (ratingValue oppRating - 1500) / 173.7178
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        φᵢ = rD oppRating / 173.7178
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        g_φᵢ = g_φ φᵢ
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calcNewRating :: RatingData -> [GameData] -> (Int, RatingData)
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calcNewRating oldRating [] = (0, RatingData (ratingValue oldRating) (173.7178 * sqrt (φ ^ 2 + σ ^ 2)) σ)
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    where
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        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
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        σ = volatility oldRating
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calcNewRating oldRating games = (length games, RatingData (173.7178 * μ' + 1500) (173.7178 * sqrt φ'sqr) σ')
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    where
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        _Es = map (calcE oldRating) games
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        υ = 1 / sum (map υ_p _Es)
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        υ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, _) = g_φᵢ ^ 2 * _Eᵢ * (1 - _Eᵢ)
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        _Δ = υ * part1
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        part1 = sum (map _Δ_p _Es)
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        _Δ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, sᵢ) = g_φᵢ * (sᵢ - _Eᵢ)
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        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
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        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
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        σ = volatility oldRating
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        a = log (σ ^ 2)
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        f :: Double -> Double
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        f x = exp x * (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ - exp x) / 2 / (φ ^ 2 + υ + exp x) ^ 2 - (x - a) / τ ^ 2
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        _A = a
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        _B = if _Δ ^ 2 > φ ^ 2 + υ then log (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ) else head . dropWhile ((>) 0 . f) . map (\k -> a - k * τ) $ [1 ..]
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        fA = f _A
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        fB = f _B
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        σ' = (\(_A, _, _, _) -> exp (_A / 2)) . head . dropWhile (\(_A, _, _B, _) -> abs (_B - _A) > ε) $ iterate step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB)
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        step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB) = let _C = _A + (_A - _B) * fA / (fB - fA); fC = f _C in
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                                     if fC * fB < 0 then (_B, fB, _C, fC) else (_A, fA / 2, _C, fC)
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        φ'sqr = 1 / (1 / (φ ^ 2 + σ' ^ 2) + 1 / υ)
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        μ' = μ + φ'sqr * part1