gameServer/OfficialServer/Glicko2.hs
author Wuzzy <Wuzzy2@mail.ru>
Thu, 15 Mar 2018 21:15:16 +0100
changeset 13221 02bf6902eeb0
parent 11390 36e1bbb6ecea
permissions -rw-r--r--
Remove Qt SVG and Qt OpenGL as hard dependencies Qt SVG is not used in the frontend (no SVGs are rendered). Neither is Qt OpenGL used. Qt OpenGL is discouraged anyway.

{-
    Glicko2, as described in http://www.glicko.net/glicko/glicko2.pdf
-}

module OfficialServer.Glicko2 where

data RatingData = RatingData {
        ratingValue
        , rD
        , volatility :: Double
    }
data GameData = GameData {
        opponentRating :: RatingData,
        gameScore :: Double
    }

τ, ε :: Double
τ = 0.2
ε = 0.000001

g_φ :: Double -> Double
g_φ φ = 1 / sqrt (1 + 3 * φ^2 / pi^2)

calcE :: RatingData -> GameData -> (Double, Double, Double)
calcE oldRating (GameData oppRating s) = (
    1 / (1 + exp (g_φᵢ * (μᵢ - μ)))
    , g_φᵢ
    , s
    )
    where
        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        μᵢ = (ratingValue oppRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φᵢ = rD oppRating / 173.7178
        g_φᵢ = g_φ φᵢ


calcNewRating :: RatingData -> [GameData] -> (Int, RatingData)
calcNewRating oldRating [] = (0, RatingData (ratingValue oldRating) (173.7178 * sqrt (φ ^ 2 + σ ^ 2)) σ)
    where
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        σ = volatility oldRating

calcNewRating oldRating games = (length games, RatingData (173.7178 * μ' + 1500) (173.7178 * sqrt φ'sqr) σ')
    where
        _Es = map (calcE oldRating) games
        υ = 1 / sum (map υ_p _Es)
        υ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, _) = g_φᵢ ^ 2 * _Eᵢ * (1 - _Eᵢ)
        _Δ = υ * part1
        part1 = sum (map _Δ_p _Es)
        _Δ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, sᵢ) = g_φᵢ * (sᵢ - _Eᵢ)

        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        σ = volatility oldRating

        a = log (σ ^ 2)
        f :: Double -> Double
        f x = exp x * (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ - exp x) / 2 / (φ ^ 2 + υ + exp x) ^ 2 - (x - a) / τ ^ 2

        _A = a
        _B = if _Δ ^ 2 > φ ^ 2 + υ then log (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ) else head . dropWhile ((>) 0 . f) . map (\k -> a - k * τ) $ [1 ..]
        fA = f _A
        fB = f _B
        σ' = (\(_A, _, _, _) -> exp (_A / 2)) . head . dropWhile (\(_A, _, _B, _) -> abs (_B - _A) > ε) $ iterate step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB)
        step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB) = let _C = _A + (_A - _B) * fA / (fB - fA); fC = f _C in
                                     if fC * fB < 0 then (_B, fB, _C, fC) else (_A, fA / 2, _C, fC)

        φ'sqr = 1 / (1 / (φ ^ 2 + σ' ^ 2) + 1 / υ)
        μ' = μ + φ'sqr * part1