gameServer/OfficialServer/Glicko2.hs
author unc0rr
Mon, 18 Apr 2016 21:47:39 +0300
changeset 11652 09ebdfe364d9
parent 11390 36e1bbb6ecea
permissions -rw-r--r--
Fix fpcrtl_strappendA, which cut last char from UserPathPrefix leading to PHYSFS_setWriteDir fail with 'File not found' error, which led to lack of writing dir and logFile handle being nil, which led to crash on attempt to write to (absent) log file

{-
    Glicko2, as described in http://www.glicko.net/glicko/glicko2.pdf
-}

module OfficialServer.Glicko2 where

data RatingData = RatingData {
        ratingValue
        , rD
        , volatility :: Double
    }
data GameData = GameData {
        opponentRating :: RatingData,
        gameScore :: Double
    }

τ, ε :: Double
τ = 0.2
ε = 0.000001

g_φ :: Double -> Double
g_φ φ = 1 / sqrt (1 + 3 * φ^2 / pi^2)

calcE :: RatingData -> GameData -> (Double, Double, Double)
calcE oldRating (GameData oppRating s) = (
    1 / (1 + exp (g_φᵢ * (μᵢ - μ)))
    , g_φᵢ
    , s
    )
    where
        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        μᵢ = (ratingValue oppRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φᵢ = rD oppRating / 173.7178
        g_φᵢ = g_φ φᵢ


calcNewRating :: RatingData -> [GameData] -> (Int, RatingData)
calcNewRating oldRating [] = (0, RatingData (ratingValue oldRating) (173.7178 * sqrt (φ ^ 2 + σ ^ 2)) σ)
    where
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        σ = volatility oldRating

calcNewRating oldRating games = (length games, RatingData (173.7178 * μ' + 1500) (173.7178 * sqrt φ'sqr) σ')
    where
        _Es = map (calcE oldRating) games
        υ = 1 / sum (map υ_p _Es)
        υ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, _) = g_φᵢ ^ 2 * _Eᵢ * (1 - _Eᵢ)
        _Δ = υ * part1
        part1 = sum (map _Δ_p _Es)
        _Δ_p (_Eᵢ, g_φᵢ, sᵢ) = g_φᵢ * (sᵢ - _Eᵢ)

        μ = (ratingValue oldRating - 1500) / 173.7178
        φ = rD oldRating / 173.7178
        σ = volatility oldRating

        a = log (σ ^ 2)
        f :: Double -> Double
        f x = exp x * (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ - exp x) / 2 / (φ ^ 2 + υ + exp x) ^ 2 - (x - a) / τ ^ 2

        _A = a
        _B = if _Δ ^ 2 > φ ^ 2 + υ then log (_Δ ^ 2 - φ ^ 2 - υ) else head . dropWhile ((>) 0 . f) . map (\k -> a - k * τ) $ [1 ..]
        fA = f _A
        fB = f _B
        σ' = (\(_A, _, _, _) -> exp (_A / 2)) . head . dropWhile (\(_A, _, _B, _) -> abs (_B - _A) > ε) $ iterate step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB)
        step5 (_A, fA, _B, fB) = let _C = _A + (_A - _B) * fA / (fB - fA); fC = f _C in
                                     if fC * fB < 0 then (_B, fB, _C, fC) else (_A, fA / 2, _C, fC)

        φ'sqr = 1 / (1 / (φ ^ 2 + σ' ^ 2) + 1 / υ)
        μ' = μ + φ'sqr * part1